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Oil set for weekly gain ahead of US-China trade talks

May 10, 2025
in Markets
Oil set for weekly gain ahead of US-China trade talks
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LONDON: Oil prices rose on Friday, poised for a weekly gain as trade tensions between top oil consumers China and the United States showed signs of easing.

Brent crude rose by $1.20, or 1.9%, to $64.04 a barrel by 1203 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was up $1.26, or about 2.1%, at $61.17.

Both benchmarks were at their highest in nearly 10 days and on track to rise more than 4% for the week.

Trade talks between the U.S. and China are definitely positive for oil, given that tariffs at their current extremes keep recession risks elevated, said Bjarne Schieldrop, chief commodities analyst at SEB.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will meet China’s top economic official Vice Premier He Lifeng in Switzerland on May 10 to work towards resolving the trade disputes that have threatened oil demand.

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Friday that China should open up its market to the United States and that 80% tariffs on Chinese goods “seems right”. Current tariffs stand at 145% for China.

Oil climbs 2% as price drop triggers buying; oversupply worries weigh

However, analysts noted that while the desire of both sides to cool tensions is a positive catalyst, a deal is unlikely to materialise very quickly.

Chinese exports rose faster than expected in April while imports narrowed their decline, customs data showed on Friday, giving Beijing some relief ahead of the talks.

Weighing on oil prices, meanwhile, was the planned increase to oil output by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, known collectively as OPEC+.

However, a Reuters survey found that OPEC oil output edged lower in April as production declines in Libya, Venezuela and Iraq outweighed a scheduled increase in output.

“Further sanctions would help crude prices if it means more disruption to Iranian production,” said Panmure Liberum analyst Ashley Kelty.

“If not, the forecast oversupply will only be made worse by recent OPEC+ moves to unwind quota reductions.”

Tags: OilUS WTI crude pricesWTIWTI crudeWTI crude oil
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