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Indian rupee falls most in a month after Indian strikes in Pakistan raise tensions

May 7, 2025
in Markets
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MUMBAI: The Indian rupee weakened on Wednesday to log its worst single-day decline in a month as worries over an escalation in geopolitical conflict between India and Pakistan hit sentiment alongside a fall in Asian peers.

The Indian rupee closed lower by nearly 0.5% at 84.8250 against the U.S. dollar, marking its worst performance since April 9.

The rupee is likely to keep facing intermittent pressure depending on how the situation evolves, a trader at Singapore-based hedge fund said.

In the near-term, bullish bets on the currency could be scaled back while the Reserve Bank of India may step in to limit sharp swings, the trader said.

Indian rupee’s rally to stall by end of July, weaker times ahead

During the day, the rupee’s losses were curbed on the back of dollar selling interest from a large conglomerate near the 84.90 level and on intermittent offers from state-run banks, a trader at a Mumbai-based bank said.

Asian currencies were lower on the day, with the offshore Chinese yuan declining to 7.22 and the Indonesian rupiah down 0.5%.

“Risk appetite in part will have been curtailed following India’s decision to attack Pakistan close to the border with Kashmir … Pakistan has also retaliated, leaving the risk of conflict elevated,” MUFG Bank said in a note.

India’s benchmark equity indexes, the BSE Sensex and Nifty 50, swung between gains and losses before ending slightly in the green while the benchmark 10-year bond yield dipped to 6.3381%.

Investors await the Federal Reserve’s policy decision due later in the day. No changes to benchmark interest rates are expected.

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