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Indian rupee rebounds on index rebalancing flows, traders trim long US dollar bets

December 30, 2025
in Markets
Indian rupee rebounds on index rebalancing flows, traders trim long US dollar bets
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MUMBAI: The Indian rupee gained against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday, snapping a three-day slide as index-rebalancing inflows and trimmed dollar longs lifted sentiment in thin year-end trade.

The Indian rupee ended 0.2% higher at 89.79 per dollar after opening at 89.9325. It stayed rangebound through the morning and had settled at 89.9750 on Monday.

“The Indian rupee experienced a significant appreciation post the RBI reference rate, as year-end obligations were met alongside rebalancing flows taking effect,” said Dilip Parmar, forex research analyst at HDFC Securities.

“Still, the currency’s gains were underpinned by thin liquidity and a steady stream of dollar supply from banks.”

Parmar expects the currency to trade in a range of 89.40 to 90.26 in the near term.

Several traders said corporate activity stayed muted and focused on routine near-term flows, buying or selling dollars to meet payables or convert receivables, with few firms taking fresh directional bets. Hedging was light, indicating companies were reluctant to add longer-dated cover at current levels.

The rupee held a narrow range, with participants citing the central bank’s expected presence near the 90 level as a key backstop. That perception has anchored spot moves and reinforced a sideways bias in thin year-end trade.

Dollar/rupee forward premiums eased again, with the one-year implied interest rate down about 10 basis points to 2.71%.

The pullback followed the central bank’s plan for a $10 billion buy/sell swap and a drop in rollover costs from Dec. 31 to Jan. 1, traders said.

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