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Intra-day update: rupee registers marginal improvement against US dollar

January 30, 2025
in Markets
Intra-day update: rupee registers marginal improvement against US dollar
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The Pakistani rupee recorded a marginal improvement against the US dollar, appreciating 0.04% in the inter-bank market during the opening hours of trading on Thursday.

At 11:50am, the currency was hovering at 278.77, a gain of Re0.10 against the greenback.

The rupee had closed at 278.87 on Wednesday.

Internationally, the US dollar bulls were ready to pounce on the euro on Thursday should the European Central Bank sound dovish on rates later in the day, given the Federal Reserve had pressed the pause button on its easing cycle overnight.

Markets are more than fully priced for the ECB to trim rates by 25 basis points to 2.75% later on Thursday, with even a small chance of 50 basis points given how weak the EU economy is.

This is one reason markets are priced for further cuts in March, April and June, with about 90 basis points of easing implied for 2025.

Were ECB President Christine Lagarde to affirm such a dovish outlook, it could pile fresh pressure on the euro.

The single currency was trading flat at $1.0425, having found support around $1.0380 overnight.

The dollar was down a fraction both against the yen at 155.01 and on a basket of currencies at 107.880.

It had briefly popped higher overnight when the Fed kept rates steady as expected but dropped a reference to making “progress” on inflation, which was taken as hawkish.

Yet, Chair Jerome Powell used his media conference to say progress was still being made and rates were “meaningfully” above neutral, implying there was still plenty of scope to cut.

As a result, Treasury yields rose at first but soon rallied back to flat with the 10-year at 4.534%. Fed fund futures pared losses to imply around 47 basis points of easing this year, compared to 49 basis points a day earlier.

Oil prices, a key indicator of currency parity, were little changed on Thursday as markets braced for threatened tariffs by Trump on Mexico and Canada, the two largest suppliers of crude oil to the United States, and awaited a meeting of OPEC+ producers.

Brent crude futures were down 7 cents, or 0.1%, at $76.51 a barrel by 0411 GMT.

US crude futures were little changed at 2 cents up, or 0.03%, to $72.64.

US crude futures had settled at their lowest price this year on Wednesday.

Trump still plans to make good on his promise to impose tariffs on Canada and Mexico on Saturday, White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt told reporters on Tuesday.

This is an intra-day update

Tags: DollarDollar buying and sellingdollar interbankinterbank market rateInterbank market rates for dollarinterbank payments serviceInterbank rateinterbank rupee rateinterbank rupee rates
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