Oil drops for third day on OPEC+ output increase, Trump tariffs

Oil prices declined for a third day on Wednesday, as investors worried about OPEC+ plans to proceed with output increases in April, and U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs on Canada, China and Mexico escalated trade tensions.

Brent futures fell $1.02, or 1.44%, to $70.02 a barrel by 1149 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude declined $1.33, or 1.95%, to $66.93 a barrel.

The contracts settled near multi-month lows the previous day, weighed down by expectations the U.S. tariffs and counter-tariffs by the affected countries will slow economic growth and reduce fuel demand.

Oil down on OPEC+ output increase, tariffs start and US pause on Ukraine aid

“The imposition of tariffs on China, Canada and Mexico by the U.S. sparked swift reprisals from each nation that increased concerns over a slowdown in economic growth and the consequent impact on energy demand,” Ashley Kelty, an analyst at Panmure Liberum, said.

Canada and China retaliated immediately to Trump’s tariffs on Tuesday, and Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum said the country would respond, without giving details.

Meanwhile, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies including Russia, a group known as OPEC+, decided on Monday to increase output for the first time since 2022, further pressuring crude prices.

The group will make a small increase of 138,000 barrels per day from April, the first step in planned monthly increases to unwind its nearly 6 million bpd of cuts, equal to almost 6% of global demand.

“There is a bit of a concern in the market that the OPEC+ decision is the start of a series of more monthly supply additions, but the statement from OPEC+ reiterates an approach in bringing back barrels only if the market can absorb them,” UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.

Analysts at Morgan Stanley Research said it was possible OPEC+ would deliver only a few monthly increases, rather than fully unwind the cuts.

The Trump administration also said on Tuesday it was ending a licence the U.S. granted to U.S. oil producer Chevron since 2022 to operate in Venezuela and export its oil.

The decision puts 200,000 bpd of supply at risk, ING commodities strategists wrote in a note on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, U.S. crude stocks fell by 1.46 million barrels in the week ended February 28, market sources said, citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.

Investors await government data on U.S. stockpiles, due on Wednesday.