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Oil set for weekly fall amid supply pressure, tariff uncertainty

April 25, 2025
in Markets
Oil set for weekly fall amid supply pressure, tariff uncertainty
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LONDON: Oil prices fell on Friday and were set for a weekly decline of over 3% on the back of oversupply concerns and uncertainty around tariff talks between the United States and China.

Brent crude futures were down 82 cents to $65.73 a barrel at 1215 GMT, falling 3.3% over the week.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was down 81 cents to $61.98 a barrel, a decline of 4.2% for the week.

“… Prices are down as concerns over oversupply from OPEC+ persist, while the demand outlook remains uncertain amid ongoing trade tensions. A stronger U.S. dollar has also added pressure to crude prices,” LSEG senior analyst Anh Pham said.

Oil erased earlier gains after a spokesperson from China’s foreign ministry said China and the U.S. were not having any consultations or negotiations on tariffs. That contradicted earlier comments by U.S. President Donald Trump, who said on Thursday trade talks between the U.S. and China were underway.

“Traders now view further (crude price) gains as unlikely in the short term due to the continued trade war among top global consumers and speculation that OPEC+ may accelerate production hikes from June,” Saxo Bank analyst Ole Hansen said.

Oil regains ground after 2% drop on potential OPEC+ output increase

China has exempted some U.S. imports from its 125% tariffs and is asking firms to identify critical goods they need levy-free, according to businesses notified, in the clearest sign yet of Beijing’s concerns about the trade war’s economic fallout.

China hiked its tariffs after Trump announced higher levies on Chinese goods.

Oil prices tumbled earlier this month to four-year lows after the tariffs sparked concern about global demand and a selloff in financial markets.

Worries are growing about excess supply. Several OPEC+ members have suggested the group accelerate oil output increases for a second month in June, Reuters reported earlier this week.

The U.S. and Russia are moving in the right direction to end the war in Ukraine, but some specific elements of a deal remain to be agreed, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said in an interview with CBS News.

A halt to Russia’s war in Ukraine and the easing of sanctions could allow more Russian oil to flow to global markets. Russia, a member of the OPEC+ group that includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, is one of the world’s biggest oil producers along with the U.S. and Saudi Arabia.

Tags: Brent crude oilOilOPECRussian Foreign Minister Sergey LavrovSinopecUS WTI crudeWTIWTI crude
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