Former US President Donald Trump is reportedly considering ending the conflict with Iran, even if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed.
According to reports, his team believes that reopening the route through military action could extend the conflict beyond their preferred timeline of four to six weeks.
Instead of focusing on reopening the strait immediately, the strategy may shift toward reducing Iran’s naval and missile capabilities. The goal would be to weaken these forces first and then move toward diplomatic efforts to restore trade and stability in the region.
If diplomatic talks do not succeed, responsibility for further actions may be passed on to allied countries. This approach suggests a mix of military pressure and negotiations to manage the situation without escalating it into a longer conflict.
Financial markets initially responded positively to these developments, as investors hoped for a possible reduction in tensions.
However, oil prices still rose above $102 per barrel, reflecting ongoing concerns about supply disruptions. Shipping risks in the region have also increased, adding to uncertainty in global trade.
Indirect talks between the two sides are still ongoing, but both have rejected some key demands from each other. This has made it difficult to reach a clear agreement or ceasefire.
As a result, uncertainty remains high about the future of the conflict and the stability of global energy supplies. The situation continues to affect markets, trade routes, and investor confidence, as the world watches closely for any signs of progress or escalation.
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